Today / Walldorf vs Freiburg B

Walldorf vs Freiburg B Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Walldorf

PPG 1.73 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Freiburg B

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-11.2%0-21.6%0-31.4%0-4+1.7%1 1-01.3%1-13.3%1-24.4%1-33.8%1-4+4.7%2 2-01.8%2-14.6%2-26.0%2-35.3%2-4+6.5%3 3-01.6%3-14.2%3-25.5%3-34.8%3-4+5.9%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-15.7%4+-27.5%4+-36.6%4+-4+8.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.6% — — —

Draw 17.8% — — —

Away win 38.7% — — —

Over 2.5 90.4% — — —

Over 3.5 78.5% — — —

BTTS 86.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob86.9%

H 44% / xG 2.8-2.6 / O2.5 90% / BTTS 87%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.0%

#2 3–2 5.5%

#3 2–3✓ 5.3%

#4 3–3 4.8%

#5 2–1 4.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Walldorf2.8

Freiburg B2.6

COMBINED 5.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 90.4% · O3.5 PROB 78.5%

Form & verdict PPG

WALLDORF · PPG 1.73

FREIBURG B · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.73) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Walldorf (H) 43.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Freiburg B (A) 38.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Walldorf face Freiburg B on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Walldorf a 44% chance, the draw 18% and Freiburg B 39%, so Walldorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Walldorf and 2.6 for Freiburg B (5.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 90% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 87% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Walldorf are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.29 for Freiburg B. This match finished 2-3.

Walldorf vs Freiburg B Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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