Today / FSV Frankfurt vs Steinbach

FSV Frankfurt vs Steinbach Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

FSV Frankfurt

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Steinbach

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-13.2%0-23.1%0-32.0%0-4+1.5%1 1-03.6%1-16.9%1-26.7%1-34.3%1-4+3.2%2 2-03.9%2-17.5%2-27.3%2-34.7%2-4+3.5%3 3-02.8%3-15.4%3-25.3%3-33.4%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-14.9%4+-24.8%4+-33.1%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.4% — — —

Draw 20.3% — — —

Away win 35.3% — — —

Over 2.5 77.8% — — —

Over 3.5 58.8% — — —

BTTS 75.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob75.9%

H 44% / xG 2.2-1.9 / O2.5 78% / BTTS 76%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.5%

#2 2–2 7.3%

#3 1–1 6.9%

#4 1–2 6.7%

#5 3–1 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FSV Frankfurt2.2

Steinbach1.9

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 77.8% · O3.5 PROB 58.8%

Form & verdict PPG

FSV FRANKFURT · PPG 1.33

STEINBACH · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.33) vs Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

FSV Frankfurt (H) 44.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Steinbach (A) 35.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

FSV Frankfurt face Steinbach on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FSV Frankfurt a 44% chance, the draw 20% and Steinbach 35%, so FSV Frankfurt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for FSV Frankfurt and 1.9 for Steinbach (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FSV Frankfurt are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.67 for Steinbach.

FSV Frankfurt vs Steinbach Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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