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Dinamo Brest vs Bate Borisov Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Matchday 21 ·Monday, September 7, 2026, 16:30

Dinamo Brest

PPG 1.30 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLDL

UPCOMING

Bate Borisov

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWDWL

// Model verdict

Home 53% chance

Model probability 53.2% vs bookmaker-implied 53.2% — a real, if thin, edge.

+0.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.8%0-17.0%0-22.3%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-017.0%1-111.0%1-23.6%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.5%2-18.7%2-22.8%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.1%3-14.6%3-21.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-12.6%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.2% 53.2% 1.88 +0.0%

Draw 24.3% 27.5% 3.64 -6.9%

Away win 22.5% 26.6% 3.76 -9.2%

Over 2.5 47.5% 59.9% 1.67 -20.7%

Over 3.5 26.3% 39.8% 2.51 -20.4%

BTTS 48.0% 63.7% 1.57 -24.6%

Home O1.5 47.3% 56.2% 1.78 -15.8%

Away O1.5 18.0% 36.9% 2.71 -30.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -48.9%

Bet Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.0%

H 53% / xG 1.6-0.6 / U2.5 48% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.0%

#2 2–0 13.5%

#3 1–1 11.0%

#4 0–0 10.8%

#5 0–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Brest1.6

Bate Borisov0.6

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.5% · O3.5 PROB 26.3%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO BREST · PPG 1.30

BATE BORISOV · PPG 0.60

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

53%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.94 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Brest (H) 53.2%

ODDS 1.88 · IMPLIED 53.2% EV +0.0%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.64 · IMPLIED 27.5% EV -6.9%

Bate Borisov (A) 22.5%

ODDS 3.76 · IMPLIED 26.6% EV -9.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Brest face Bate Borisov in Belarus - Vysshaya Liga on Monday, September 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Brest a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Bate Borisov 23%, so Dinamo Brest are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Dinamo Brest and 0.6 for Bate Borisov (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Brest are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 0.60 for Bate Borisov.

Dinamo Brest vs Bate Borisov Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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