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Belshina vs Neman Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Matchday 21 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 12:00

Belshina

PPG 1.56 · HOME

LAST 5

LDWLD

UPCOMING

Neman

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-115.1%0-29.0%0-33.6%0-4+1.4%1 1-011.1%1-113.2%1-27.9%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-04.8%2-15.8%2-23.4%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-01.4%3-11.7%3-21.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.1% 15.4% 6.50 +49.6%

Draw 28.3% 25.0% 4.00 +7.9%

Away win 43.6% 71.4% 1.40 -39.0%

Over 2.5 42.7% 52.6% 1.90 -18.9%

Over 3.5 20.9% 34.6% 2.89 -23.8%

BTTS 48.0% 48.8% 2.05 -1.6%

Home O1.5 30.8% 26.0% 3.84 +18.3%

Away O1.5 34.9% 57.1% 1.75 -38.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -48.9%

Bet Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.0%

A 44% / xG 0.9-1.2 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 15.1%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 0–0 12.7%

#4 1–0 11.1%

#5 0–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Belshina0.9

Neman1.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BELSHINA · PPG 1.56

NEMAN · PPG 1.56

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

Chance this pick lands

48%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.32, combined xG 2.06 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Belshina (H) 28.1%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV +49.6%

Draw 28.3%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +7.9%

Neman (A) 43.6%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -39.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Belshina face Neman in Belarus - Vysshaya Liga on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Belshina a 28% chance, the draw 28% and Neman 44%, so Neman are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Belshina and 1.2 for Neman (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Belshina are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.56 for Neman. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +40.8%.

Belshina vs Neman Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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