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FC Isloch Minsk R. vs Arsenal Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Matchday 21 ·Monday, September 7, 2026, 14:00

FC Isloch Minsk R.

PPG 2.62 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWDW

UPCOMING

Arsenal

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLL 

// Model verdict

Home 74% chance

Model probability 56.2% vs bookmaker-implied 81.3%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-15.8%0-22.3%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-013.3%1-110.6%1-24.2%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-012.1%2-19.6%2-23.9%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-07.3%3-15.9%3-22.3%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-05.0%4+-14.0%4+-21.6%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.2% 81.3% 1.23 -30.9%

Draw 22.8% 18.7% 5.35 +13.2%

Away win 21.0% 7.3% 13.75 +113.3%

Over 2.5 53.8% 66.2% 1.51 -18.8%

Over 3.5 31.6% 43.7% 2.29 -27.6%

BTTS 49.9% 46.7% 2.14 +6.8%

Home O1.5 51.8% 75.2% 1.33 -31.1%

Away O1.5 23.5% 15.0% 6.65 +33.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -48.9%

Bet Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.9%

H 56% / xG 1.8-0.8 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.1%

#2 1–0 13.3%

#3 1–1 10.6%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Isloch Minsk R.1.8

Arsenal0.8

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

FC ISLOCH MINSK R. · PPG 2.62

ARSENAL · PPG 1.30

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

Chance this pick lands

74%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.02 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

FC Isloch Minsk R. (H) 56.2%

ODDS 1.23 · IMPLIED 81.3% EV -30.9%

Draw 22.8%

ODDS 5.35 · IMPLIED 18.7% EV +13.2%

Arsenal (A) 21.0%

ODDS 13.75 · IMPLIED 7.3% EV +113.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Isloch Minsk R. face Arsenal in Belarus - Vysshaya Liga on Monday, September 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Isloch Minsk R. a 56% chance, the draw 23% and Arsenal 21%, so FC Isloch Minsk R. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for FC Isloch Minsk R. and 0.8 for Arsenal (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Isloch Minsk R. are averaging 2.62 points per game versus 1.30 for Arsenal. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +33.8%.

FC Isloch Minsk R. vs Arsenal Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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