Today / SSVg Velbert vs FC Koln B
SSVg Velbert vs FC Koln B Prediction
Saturday, April 25, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 58% / xG 1.2-2.2 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.1% · O3.5 PROB 44.2%
Form & verdict
SSVG VELBERT · PPG 0.33
FC KOLN B · PPG 1.14
Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.14) vs Home POOR (0.33)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
SSVg Velbert face FC Koln B on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SSVg Velbert a 21% chance, the draw 20% and FC Koln B 58%, so FC Koln B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for SSVg Velbert and 2.2 for FC Koln B (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SSVg Velbert are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.14 for FC Koln B. This match finished 3-3.