Today / Bochum B vs Mgladbach B

Bochum B vs Mgladbach B Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Bochum B

PPG 1.14 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Mgladbach B

PPG 2.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-17.4%0-27.3%0-34.7%0-4+3.6%1 1-05.0%1-19.7%1-29.6%1-36.2%1-4+4.8%2 2-03.3%2-16.4%2-26.3%2-34.1%2-4+3.2%3 3-01.4%3-12.8%3-22.8%3-31.8%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.2%4+-21.2%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.6% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 52.5% — — —

Over 2.5 63.6% — — —

Over 3.5 41.5% — — —

BTTS 62.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob62.9%

A 52% / xG 1.3-2.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 9.7%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 0–1 7.4%

#4 0–2 7.3%

#5 2–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bochum B1.3

Mgladbach B2.0

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 41.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BOCHUM B · PPG 1.14

MGLADBACH B · PPG 2.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs Home AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Bochum B (H) 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mgladbach B (A) 52.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bochum B face Mgladbach B on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bochum B a 26% chance, the draw 22% and Mgladbach B 53%, so Mgladbach B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Bochum B and 2.0 for Mgladbach B (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bochum B are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 2.13 for Mgladbach B. This match finished 1-1.

Bochum B vs Mgladbach B Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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