Today / Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol / Union Cocle vs Tauro FC

Union Cocle vs Tauro FC Prediction— Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Apertura · Matchday 7 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 21:00

Union Cocle

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

WLDLD

UPCOMING

Tauro FC

PPG 0.90 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLLW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.9%0-110.2%0-24.0%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.3%1-112.8%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.2%2-18.1%2-23.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.3%3-13.4%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.4%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.0% 37.0% 2.70 +21.5%

Draw 27.7% 33.3% 3.00 -10.1%

Away win 27.3% 42.0% 2.38 -21.0%

Over 2.5 43.4% 44.4% 2.25 -2.4%

Over 3.5 23.1% 24.7% 4.05 -3.9%

BTTS 48.0% 54.1% 1.85 -11.2%

Home O1.5 37.5% 36.2% 2.76 +3.5%

Away O1.5 22.8% 40.7% 2.46 -26.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 51%

ROI 47.0%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.0%

H 45% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.3%

#2 0–0 12.9%

#3 1–1 12.8%

#4 0–1 10.2%

#5 2–0 10.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Union Cocle1.3

Tauro FC0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.4% · O3.5 PROB 23.1%

Form & verdict PPG

UNION COCLE · PPG 1.50

TAURO FC · PPG 0.90

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

Chance this pick lands

48%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.47, combined xG 2.04 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Union Cocle (H) 45.0%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV +21.5%

Draw 27.7%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -10.1%

Tauro FC (A) 27.3%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -21.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Union Cocle face Tauro FC in Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Union Cocle a 45% chance, the draw 28% and Tauro FC 27%, so Union Cocle are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Union Cocle and 0.8 for Tauro FC (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Union Cocle are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.90 for Tauro FC. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +17.2%.

Union Cocle vs Tauro FC Prediction— Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Match Preview & Prediction

More Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol Predictions