Today / Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol / Deportivo Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito

Deportivo Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito Prediction— Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Apertura · Matchday 7 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 23:15

Deportivo Universitario

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LDDWD

UPCOMING

Sporting San Miguelito

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWLW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.0%0-111.6%0-26.1%0-32.1%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.7%1-113.4%1-27.0%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-07.3%2-17.7%2-24.0%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.8%3-12.9%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.1%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.7% 34.5% 2.90 +9.3%

Draw 29.0% 35.7% 2.80 -11.3%

Away win 33.3% 43.5% 2.30 -23.4%

Over 2.5 42.7% 42.6% 2.35 +0.3%

Over 3.5 22.7% 23.5% 4.25 -2.1%

BTTS 49.8% 52.4% 1.91 -4.9%

Home O1.5 31.2% 30.5% 3.28 +2.3%

Away O1.5 32.5% 38.9% 2.57 -16.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 51%

ROI 47.0%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob49.8%

D 29% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 11.0%

#3 1–0 12.7%

#4 0–1 11.6%

#5 2–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Universitario1.1

Sporting San Miguelito1.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 22.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO UNIVERSITARIO · PPG 1.00

SPORTING SAN MIGUELITO · PPG 1.27

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

Chance this pick lands

50%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.10, combined xG 2.20 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Universitario (H) 37.7%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +9.3%

Draw 29.0%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -11.3%

Sporting San Miguelito (A) 33.3%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -23.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Universitario face Sporting San Miguelito in Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Universitario a 38% chance, the draw 29% and Sporting San Miguelito 33%, so Deportivo Universitario are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Deportivo Universitario and 1.1 for Sporting San Miguelito (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Universitario are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.27 for Sporting San Miguelito. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +29.1%.

Deportivo Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito Prediction— Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Match Preview & Prediction

More Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol Predictions