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Deportivo Universitario vs CD Arabe Unido Prediction— Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Apertura · Matchday 6 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 23:15

Deportivo Universitario

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LDDWD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

CD Arabe Unido

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWWD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 49.2% vs bookmaker-implied 50.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-110.4%0-25.3%0-31.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-012.9%1-113.1%1-26.7%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.1%2-18.3%2-24.2%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.4%3-13.5%3-21.8%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.4%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.4% 36.4% 2.75 +13.9%

Draw 28.3% 36.4% 2.75 -13.3%

Away win 30.4% 40.0% 2.50 -24.0%

Over 2.5 44.8% 42.0% 2.38 +6.6%

Over 3.5 25.6% 20.8% 4.80 +13.7%

BTTS 49.2% 50.0% 2.00 -1.6%

Home O1.5 36.7% 31.7% 3.15 +15.6%

Away O1.5 32.6% 34.6% 2.89 -5.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 53%

ROI 47.0%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.2%

H 41% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 1–0 12.9%

#3 0–0✓ 10.2%

#4 0–1 10.4%

#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Universitario1.3

CD Arabe Unido1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO UNIVERSITARIO · PPG 1.00

CD ARABE UNIDO · PPG 1.10

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.24, combined xG 2.28 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Universitario (H) 41.4%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +13.9%

Draw 28.3%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -13.3%

CD Arabe Unido (A) 30.4%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -24.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Universitario face CD Arabe Unido in Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Universitario a 41% chance, the draw 28% and CD Arabe Unido 30%, so Deportivo Universitario are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Deportivo Universitario and 1.0 for CD Arabe Unido (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Universitario are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.10 for CD Arabe Unido. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +19.9%. This match finished 0-0.

Deportivo Universitario vs CD Arabe Unido Prediction— Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Match Preview & Prediction

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