Hoffenheim B vs FC Ingolstadt Prediction— Germany - 3. Liga

Germany - 3. Liga Regular Season - 35 Dietmar-Hopp Stadion· Sinsheim Saturday, April 25, 2026 12:00

Hoffenheim B PPG 1.18

0-3 MISS

FC Ingolstadt PPG 1.18

Over3.5· +2.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Hoffenheim B face FC Ingolstadt in Germany - 3. Liga on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hoffenheim B a 42% chance, the draw 22% and FC Ingolstadt 37%, so Hoffenheim B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Hoffenheim B and 1.8 for FC Ingolstadt (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hoffenheim B are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 1.18 for FC Ingolstadt. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +2.6%. This match finished 0-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.9%

Odds: 2.33 EV: -2.4%

Draw 21.5%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -18.3%

Away 36.6%

Odds: 2.65 EV: -3.0%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 72.0% Odds: 1.40 +0.8%

Over 3.5 51.3% Odds: 2.00 +2.6%

BTTS 71.4% Odds: 1.33 -5.0%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Hoffenheim B

1.93

FC Ingolstadt

1.80

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +0.8% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+2.6%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.18), Away AVERAGE (1.18)