Today / 1860 Munchen vs Ulm

1860 Munchen vs Ulm Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

1860 Munchen

PPG 1.82 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Ulm

PPG 0.76 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-13.5%0-21.9%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-07.7%1-18.2%1-24.4%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.0%2-19.7%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-07.1%3-17.6%3-24.1%3-31.4%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-07.2%4+-17.7%4+-24.1%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.8% — — —

Draw 18.4% — — —

Away win 15.8% — — —

Over 2.5 66.4% — — —

Over 3.5 44.6% — — —

BTTS 59.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob59.5%

H 66% / xG 2.4-1.1 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.7%

#2 2–0 9.0%

#3 1–1 8.2%

#4 1–0 7.7%

#5 3–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

1860 Munchen2.4

Ulm1.1

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.4% · O3.5 PROB 44.6%

Form & verdict PPG

1860 MUNCHEN · PPG 1.82

ULM · PPG 0.76

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.82), Away POOR (0.76) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

1860 Munchen (H) 65.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ulm (A) 15.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

1860 Munchen face Ulm on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives 1860 Munchen a 66% chance, the draw 18% and Ulm 16%, so 1860 Munchen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for 1860 Munchen and 1.1 for Ulm (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, 1860 Munchen are averaging 1.82 points per game versus 0.76 for Ulm. This match finished 3-2.

1860 Munchen vs Ulm Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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