Today / Fastav Zlin U19 vs Pardubice U19

Fastav Zlin U19 vs Pardubice U19 Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Fastav Zlin U19
PPG 1.18 · HOME
1 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Pardubice U19
PPG 1.18 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-15.9%0-25.6%0-33.5%0-4+2.6%1 1-04.9%1-19.3%1-28.8%1-35.6%1-4+4.1%2 2-03.8%2-17.3%2-26.9%2-34.4%2-4+3.2%3 3-02.0%3-13.8%3-23.6%3-32.3%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.2%4+-22.0%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.9%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 32.4%
Draw 22.1%
Away win 45.6%
Over 2.5 67.5%
Over 3.5 45.8%
BTTS 67.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 55%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob67.5%

A 46% / xG 1.6-1.9 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%
#2 1–2 8.8%
#3 2–1 7.3%
#4 2–2 6.9%
#5 0–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fastav Zlin U191.6
Pardubice U191.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.5% · O3.5 PROB 45.8%

Form & verdict PPG

FASTAV ZLIN U19 · PPG 1.18

PARDUBICE U19 · PPG 1.18

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.18), Away AVERAGE (1.18)

Win probability 1X2

Fastav Zlin U19 (H) 32.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Pardubice U19 (A) 45.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fastav Zlin U19 face Pardubice U19 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fastav Zlin U19 a 32% chance, the draw 22% and Pardubice U19 46%, so Pardubice U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Fastav Zlin U19 and 1.9 for Pardubice U19 (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fastav Zlin U19 are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 1.18 for Pardubice U19. This match finished 1-3.

PredictVantage

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