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Zelzate vs Roeselare Daisel Prediction— Belgium - First Amateur Division

VV · Matchday 2 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 13:00

Zelzate

PPG 1.30 · HOME

LAST 5

D ····

UPCOMING

Roeselare Daisel

PPG 1.61 · AWAY

LAST 5

D ····

// Model verdict

BTTS 62% chance

Model probability 55.5% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-16.6%0-25.0%0-32.5%0-4+1.3%1 1-07.1%1-110.7%1-28.1%1-34.1%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.8%2-18.7%2-26.5%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.1%3-14.7%3-23.5%3-31.8%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.7%4+-22.0%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.5% 36.4% 2.75 +5.9%

Draw 27.1% 33.3% 3.00 -11.2%

Away win 34.4% 43.5% 2.30 -20.9%

Over 2.5 53.8% 65.4% 1.53 -17.7%

Over 3.5 35.3% 39.7% 2.52 -11.0%

BTTS 55.5% 64.5% 1.55 -14.0%

Home O1.5 48.1% 43.5% 2.30 +10.6%

Away O1.5 44.5% 52.4% 1.91 -15.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob55.5%

H 38% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 1–2 8.1%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 0–0 4.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zelzate1.6

Roeselare Daisel1.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 35.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ZELZATE · PPG 1.30

ROESELARE DAISEL · PPG 1.61

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

62%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.11 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Zelzate (H) 38.5%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +5.9%

Draw 27.1%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -11.2%

Roeselare Daisel (A) 34.4%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -20.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zelzate face Roeselare Daisel in Belgium - First Amateur Division on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zelzate a 39% chance, the draw 27% and Roeselare Daisel 34%, so Zelzate are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Zelzate and 1.5 for Roeselare Daisel (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zelzate are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.61 for Roeselare Daisel. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +15.0%.

Zelzate vs Roeselare Daisel Prediction— Belgium - First Amateur Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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