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Futbol Consultants Moravia vs Santa Ana Prediction— Costa-Rica - Liga de Ascenso

Matchday 6 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 20:00

Futbol Consultants Moravia

PPG 1.16 · HOME

LAST 5

LDLL ·

UPCOMING

Santa Ana

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWL ·

// Model verdict

BTTS 59% chance

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 61.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-18.3%0-24.8%0-31.9%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.4%1-112.2%1-27.2%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.7%2-19.1%2-25.3%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.8%3-14.5%3-22.6%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.3%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.5% 48.8% 2.05 -8.8%

Draw 25.3% 29.4% 3.40 -8.4%

Away win 30.1% 33.3% 3.00 -9.7%

Over 2.5 53.8% 54.1% 1.85 -0.5%

Over 3.5 31.6% 34.2% 2.92 -7.7%

BTTS 54.6% 61.0% 1.64 -10.5%

Home O1.5 39.9% 50.5% 1.98 -21.0%

Away O1.5 33.2% 40.0% 2.50 -17.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.6%

H 44% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–0 10.4%

#4 2–0 7.7%

#5 1–2 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Futbol Consultants Moravia1.5

Santa Ana1.2

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

FUTBOL CONSULTANTS MORAVIA · PPG 1.16

SANTA ANA · PPG 1.33

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

59%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Futbol Consultants Moravia (H) 44.5%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -8.8%

Draw 25.3%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -8.4%

Santa Ana (A) 30.1%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -9.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Futbol Consultants Moravia face Santa Ana in Costa-Rica - Liga de Ascenso on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Futbol Consultants Moravia a 45% chance, the draw 25% and Santa Ana 30%, so Futbol Consultants Moravia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Futbol Consultants Moravia and 1.2 for Santa Ana (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Futbol Consultants Moravia are averaging 1.16 points per game versus 1.33 for Santa Ana.

Futbol Consultants Moravia vs Santa Ana Prediction— Costa-Rica - Liga de Ascenso

Match Preview & Prediction

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