Today / Costa-Rica - Liga de Ascenso / CS Uruguay vs Futbol Consultants Moravia

CS Uruguay vs Futbol Consultants Moravia Prediction— Costa-Rica - Liga de Ascenso

Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 20:00

CS Uruguay

PPG 1.35 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLLW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Futbol Consultants Moravia

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLL ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.3% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-17.7%0-24.3%0-31.6%0-4+0.6%1 1-010.7%1-112.0%1-26.7%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.3%2-19.3%2-25.2%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.3%3-14.9%3-22.7%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.7%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.3% 47.6% 2.10 -4.9%

Draw 25.1% 27.8% 3.60 -5.8%

Away win 29.6% 36.4% 2.75 -11.2%

Over 2.5 53.4% 54.1% 1.85 -1.2%

Over 3.5 31.5% 32.5% 3.08 -3.0%

BTTS 54.3% 59.9% 1.67 -9.3%

Home O1.5 46.0% 46.5% 2.15 -1.1%

Away O1.5 33.0% 39.4% 2.54 -16.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.3%

H 45% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0✓ 10.7%

#4 2–0 8.3%

#5 1–2 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

CS Uruguay1.6

Futbol Consultants Moravia1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CS URUGUAY · PPG 1.35

FUTBOL CONSULTANTS MORAVIA · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.44 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

CS Uruguay (H) 45.3%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -4.9%

Draw 25.1%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -5.8%

Futbol Consultants Moravia (A) 29.6%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -11.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

CS Uruguay face Futbol Consultants Moravia in Costa-Rica - Liga de Ascenso on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CS Uruguay a 45% chance, the draw 25% and Futbol Consultants Moravia 30%, so CS Uruguay are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for CS Uruguay and 1.1 for Futbol Consultants Moravia (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CS Uruguay are averaging 1.35 points per game versus 1.25 for Futbol Consultants Moravia. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +0.5%. This match finished 1-0.

CS Uruguay vs Futbol Consultants Moravia Prediction— Costa-Rica - Liga de Ascenso

Match Preview & Prediction

More Costa-Rica - Liga de Ascenso Predictions