Stockport vs Peterborough Prediction— England - League One

England - League One Regular Season - 45 Edgeley Park· Stockport Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:30

Stockport PPG 1.90

3-1 HIT CS5

Peterborough PPG 1.05

Home· -1.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Stockport face Peterborough in England - League One on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stockport a 65% chance, the draw 19% and Peterborough 16%, so Stockport are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Stockport and 1.0 for Peterborough (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stockport are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 1.05 for Peterborough. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 65.4%

Odds: 1.51 EV: -1.3%

Draw 18.8%

Odds: 4.65 EV: -12.6%

Away 15.8%

Odds: 5.10 EV: -19.4%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.2% Odds: 1.40 -10.1%

Over 3.5 42.1% Odds: 2.00 -15.8%

BTTS 57.7% Odds: 1.48 -14.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 3-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Stockport

2.28

Peterborough

1.03

Model SuggestionHome -1.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -1.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -55.8%

Bet Hit 26% (23 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.90), Away AVERAGE (1.05) - Strong consensus