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Stockport vs Peterborough Prediction— England - League One

Regular Season - 45 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:30

Stockport

PPG 1.90 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Peterborough

PPG 1.05 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 65.4% vs bookmaker-implied 66.2%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-13.8%0-21.9%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-08.3%1-18.6%1-24.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.5%2-19.8%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-07.2%3-17.4%3-23.8%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-07.0%4+-17.2%4+-23.7%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.4% 66.2% 1.51 -1.3%

Draw 18.8% 21.5% 4.65 -12.6%

Away win 15.8% 19.6% 5.10 -19.4%

Over 2.5 64.2% 71.4% 1.40 -10.1%

Over 3.5 42.1% 50.0% 2.00 -15.8%

BTTS 57.7% 67.6% 1.48 -14.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -13.9%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob57.7%

H 65% / xG 2.3-1.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.8%

#2 2–0 9.5%

#3 1–1 8.6%

#4 1–0 8.3%

#5 3–1✓ 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stockport2.3

Peterborough1.0

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 42.1%

Form & verdict PPG

STOCKPORT · PPG 1.90

PETERBOROUGH · PPG 1.05

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.90), Away AVERAGE (1.05) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Stockport (H) 65.4%

ODDS 1.51 · IMPLIED 66.2% EV -1.3%

Draw 18.8%

ODDS 4.65 · IMPLIED 21.5% EV -12.6%

Peterborough (A) 15.8%

ODDS 5.10 · IMPLIED 19.6% EV -19.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Stockport face Peterborough in England - League One on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stockport a 65% chance, the draw 19% and Peterborough 16%, so Stockport are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Stockport and 1.0 for Peterborough (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stockport are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 1.05 for Peterborough. This match finished 3-1.

Stockport vs Peterborough Prediction— England - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

More England - League One Predictions