Doncaster vs Stevenage Prediction— England - League One

England - League One Regular Season - 45 Eco-Power Stadium· Doncaster Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:30

Doncaster PPG 1.45

1-1 HIT CS2

Stevenage PPG 1.14

Home· +23.3% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Doncaster face Stevenage in England - League One on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Doncaster a 41% chance, the draw 29% and Stevenage 30%, so Doncaster are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Doncaster and 1.0 for Stevenage (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Doncaster are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 1.14 for Stevenage. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +23.3%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.1%

Odds: 3.00 EV: +23.3%

Draw 29.3%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -4.8%

Away 29.6%

Odds: 2.32 EV: -31.3%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 36.4% Odds: 2.15 -21.7%

Over 3.5 17.1% Odds: 4.20 -28.2%

BTTS 43.0% Odds: 1.85 -20.4%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✔

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Doncaster

1.19

Stevenage

0.96

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -55.8%

Bet Hit 26% (23 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.45) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)