Fulham vs Aston Villa Prediction & Tips

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England - Premier League Regular Season - 34 Craven Cottage· London Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:30

Fulham PPG 1.81

1-0 HIT CS2

Aston Villa PPG 1.44

Home· +17.4% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.5%

Odds: 2.58 EV: +17.4%

Draw 25.3%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -11.5%

Away 29.2%

Odds: 2.52 EV: -26.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.9% Odds: 1.80 -8.4%

Over 3.5 28.8% Odds: 2.95 -15.0%

BTTS 54.2% Odds: 1.62 -12.2%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✔

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Fulham

1.53

Aston Villa

1.18

Model SuggestionBTTS -12.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+17.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.81) > Away AVERAGE (1.44)