Today / Kauno Zalgiris vs Riteriai

Kauno Zalgiris vs Riteriai Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Kauno Zalgiris

PPG 2.00 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Riteriai

PPG 0.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.20) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.1%0-10.0%0-20.0%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-00.4%1-10.0%1-20.0%1-30.0%1-4+0.0%2 2-01.4%2-10.1%2-20.0%2-30.0%2-4+0.0%3 3-03.6%3-10.4%3-20.0%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-084.9%4+-18.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 99.9% — — —

Draw 0.1% — — —

Away win 0.0% — — —

Over 2.5 98.1% — — —

Over 3.5 94.4% — — —

BTTS 9.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)7.5 xG (away)0.1 BTTS prob9.7%

H 100% / xG 7.5-0.1 / O2.5 98% / NoBTTS 10%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–0 10.0%

#2 4–0✓ 6.7%

#3 3–0 3.6%

#4 2–0 1.4%

#5 5–1 1.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kauno Zalgiris7.5

Riteriai0.1

COMBINED 7.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 98.1% · O3.5 PROB 94.4%

Form & verdict PPG

KAUNO ZALGIRIS · PPG 2.00

RITERIAI · PPG 0.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.20) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Kauno Zalgiris (H) 99.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 0.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Riteriai (A) 0.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kauno Zalgiris face Riteriai on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kauno Zalgiris a 100% chance, the draw 0% and Riteriai 0%, so Kauno Zalgiris are favoured to win. Expected goals are 7.5 for Kauno Zalgiris and 0.1 for Riteriai (7.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-0. There is a 98% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 10% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kauno Zalgiris are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.20 for Riteriai. This match finished 4-0.

Kauno Zalgiris vs Riteriai Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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