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Vizela U19 vs Sporting Braga U19 Prediction— Portugal - Júniores U19

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 16:00

Vizela U19

PPG 0.90 · HOME

LAST 5

LLL ··

UPCOMING

Sporting Braga U19

PPG 2.06 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWD ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 63% chance

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.6% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-18.6%0-28.3%0-35.3%0-4+4.0%1 1-05.3%1-110.2%1-29.8%1-36.3%1-4+4.7%2 2-03.1%2-16.0%2-25.8%2-33.7%2-4+2.8%3 3-01.2%3-12.4%3-22.3%3-31.5%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.9%4+-20.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.4% 22.2% 4.50 +0.5%

Draw 21.7% 25.6% 3.90 -9.2%

Away win 55.9% 63.7% 1.57 -12.2%

Over 2.5 59.6% 63.7% 1.57 -6.4%

Over 3.5 36.4% 42.9% 2.33 -15.2%

BTTS 55.0% 62.5% 1.60 -12.0%

Home O1.5 33.0% 33.4% 2.99 -1.3%

Away O1.5 58.3% 67.6% 1.48 -13.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob55.0%

A 56% / xG 1.2-1.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.8%

#2 1–1 10.2%

#3 0–2 8.3%

#4 0–1 8.6%

#5 1–3 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vizela U191.2

Sporting Braga U191.9

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

VIZELA U19 · PPG 0.90

SPORTING BRAGA U19 · PPG 2.06

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

63%

DANGER

xG gap -0.75 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Vizela U19 (H) 22.4%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +0.5%

Draw 21.7%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -9.2%

Sporting Braga U19 (A) 55.9%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -12.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vizela U19 face Sporting Braga U19 in Portugal - Júniores U19 on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vizela U19 a 22% chance, the draw 22% and Sporting Braga U19 56%, so Sporting Braga U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Vizela U19 and 1.9 for Sporting Braga U19 (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vizela U19 are averaging 0.90 points per game versus 2.06 for Sporting Braga U19. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +12.1%.

Vizela U19 vs Sporting Braga U19 Prediction— Portugal - Júniores U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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