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Academico Viseu U19 vs Famalicão U19 Prediction— Portugal - Júniores U19

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 16:00

Academico Viseu U19

PPG 1.29 · HOME

LAST 5

DLL ··

UPCOMING

Famalicão U19

PPG 1.41 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDW ··

// Model verdict

BTTS 57% chance

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-19.5%0-25.6%0-32.2%0-4+0.9%1 1-010.7%1-112.7%1-27.6%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.2%2-18.5%2-25.1%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.2%3-13.8%3-22.3%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.7%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.5% 38.5% 2.60 +0.1%

Draw 26.0% 29.4% 3.40 -7.0%

Away win 35.4% 43.5% 2.30 -18.6%

Over 2.5 50.6% 51.3% 1.95 -1.3%

Over 3.5 28.7% 30.5% 3.28 -3.5%

BTTS 52.9% 58.8% 1.70 -10.1%

Home O1.5 39.3% 41.7% 2.40 -5.7%

Away O1.5 34.6% 45.2% 2.21 -23.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 20%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.9%

H 38% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 1–0 10.7%

#3 0–1 9.5%

#4 1–2 7.6%

#5 2–1 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Academico Viseu U191.3

Famalicão U191.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.6% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ACADEMICO VISEU U19 · PPG 1.29

FAMALICÃO U19 · PPG 1.41

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

57%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.15 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Academico Viseu U19 (H) 38.5%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV +0.1%

Draw 26.0%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -7.0%

Famalicão U19 (A) 35.4%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -18.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Academico Viseu U19 face Famalicão U19 in Portugal - Júniores U19 on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Academico Viseu U19 a 39% chance, the draw 26% and Famalicão U19 35%, so Academico Viseu U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Academico Viseu U19 and 1.2 for Famalicão U19 (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Academico Viseu U19 are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.41 for Famalicão U19. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +5.1%.

Academico Viseu U19 vs Famalicão U19 Prediction— Portugal - Júniores U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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