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Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Famalicão U19 Prediction— Portugal - Júniores U19

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 16:00

Vitoria Guimaraes U19

PPG 1.59 · HOME

LAST 5

WWD ··

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Famalicão U19

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDW ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.59 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-16.9%0-23.7%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.6%1-111.5%1-26.3%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.9%2-19.6%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.9%3-15.4%3-22.9%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-13.3%4+-21.8%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.4% 46.5% 2.15 +6.2%

Draw 26.6% 28.6% 3.50 -4.1%

Away win 23.9% 36.4% 2.75 -20.6%

Over 2.5 50.2% 51.3% 1.95 -2.1%

Over 3.5 30.9% — — —

BTTS 53.0% — — —

Home O1.5 48.7% — — —

Away O1.5 35.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob53.0%

H 49% / xG 1.7-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.5%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 8.9%

#4 1–0 10.6%

#5 0–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vitoria Guimaraes U191.7

Famalicão U191.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.2% · O3.5 PROB 30.9%

Form & verdict PPG

VITORIA GUIMARAES U19 · PPG 1.59

FAMALICÃO U19 · PPG 1.22

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.59 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 (H) 49.4%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV +6.2%

Draw 26.6%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -4.1%

Famalicão U19 (A) 23.9%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -20.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 face Famalicão U19 in Portugal - Júniores U19 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vitoria Guimaraes U19 a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Famalicão U19 24%, so Vitoria Guimaraes U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Vitoria Guimaraes U19 and 1.1 for Famalicão U19 (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vitoria Guimaraes U19 are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 1.22 for Famalicão U19. This match finished 1-1.

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Famalicão U19 Prediction— Portugal - Júniores U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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