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Rio Ave U19 vs Vizela U19 Prediction— Portugal - Júniores U19

Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 16:00

Rio Ave U19

PPG 1.45 · HOME

LAST 5

DLW ··

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Vizela U19

PPG 1.09 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLL ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 61.2% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-14.2%0-23.2%0-31.6%0-4+0.9%1 1-05.7%1-18.7%1-26.6%1-33.4%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.9%2-19.0%2-26.8%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-04.1%3-16.2%3-24.7%3-32.4%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-15.2%4+-24.0%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.9% 55.6% 1.80 -15.6%

Draw 24.3% 26.7% 3.75 -5.3%

Away win 28.8% 29.4% 3.40 -1.3%

Over 2.5 61.2% 63.7% 1.57 -3.9%

Over 3.5 39.4% — — —

BTTS 61.3% 62.5% 1.60 -1.9%

Home O1.5 59.6% — — —

Away O1.5 48.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.3%

H 47% / xG 2.1-1.5 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.7%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 1–2 6.6%

#5 3–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rio Ave U192.1

Vizela U191.5

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

RIO AVE U19 · PPG 1.45

VIZELA U19 · PPG 1.09

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.54 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Rio Ave U19 (H) 46.9%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -15.6%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -5.3%

Vizela U19 (A) 28.8%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -1.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rio Ave U19 face Vizela U19 in Portugal - Júniores U19 on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rio Ave U19 a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Vizela U19 29%, so Rio Ave U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Rio Ave U19 and 1.5 for Vizela U19 (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rio Ave U19 are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 1.09 for Vizela U19. This match finished 1-0.

Rio Ave U19 vs Vizela U19 Prediction— Portugal - Júniores U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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