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Vizela U19 vs Porto U19 Prediction— Portugal - Júniores U19

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 16:00

Vizela U19

PPG 1.08 · HOME

LAST 5

LLL ··

2 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Porto U19

PPG 2.11 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWW ··

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 56.9% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-17.9%0-27.6%0-34.9%0-4+3.6%1 1-05.2%1-110.0%1-29.6%1-36.2%1-4+4.6%2 2-03.3%2-16.4%2-26.1%2-33.9%2-4+2.9%3 3-01.4%3-12.7%3-22.6%3-31.7%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.1%4+-21.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.1% 16.7% 6.00 +26.8%

Draw 24.4% 21.1% 4.75 +9.5%

Away win 51.5% 73.5% 1.36 -30.0%

Over 2.5 55.9% 69.4% 1.44 -19.5%

Over 3.5 36.7% 49.5% 2.02 -25.9%

BTTS 54.4% 60.6% 1.65 -10.2%

Home O1.5 37.2% 27.3% 3.66 +36.1%

Away O1.5 56.9% 76.9% 1.30 -26.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-5

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob54.4%

A 52% / xG 1.3-1.9 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 0–2 7.6%

#4 2–1 6.4%

#5 0–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vizela U191.3

Porto U191.9

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.9% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

VIZELA U19 · PPG 1.08

PORTO U19 · PPG 2.11

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.65 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Vizela U19 (H) 24.1%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +26.8%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +9.5%

Porto U19 (A) 51.5%

ODDS 1.36 · IMPLIED 73.5% EV -30.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vizela U19 face Porto U19 in Portugal - Júniores U19 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vizela U19 a 24% chance, the draw 24% and Porto U19 52%, so Porto U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Vizela U19 and 1.9 for Porto U19 (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vizela U19 are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 2.11 for Porto U19. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +49.8%. This match finished 2-5.

Vizela U19 vs Porto U19 Prediction— Portugal - Júniores U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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