Today / Teutonia O. vs T. Wilhelmsburg

Teutonia O. vs T. Wilhelmsburg Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Teutonia O.
PPG 1.85 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
T. Wilhelmsburg
PPG 0.53 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-11.8%0-21.8%0-31.2%0-4+0.9%1 1-02.4%1-14.8%1-24.8%1-33.2%1-4+2.6%2 2-03.3%2-16.6%2-26.6%2-34.4%2-4+3.5%3 3-03.0%3-16.0%3-26.0%3-34.0%3-4+3.2%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-17.9%4+-27.9%4+-35.3%4+-4+4.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 53.8%
Draw 18.0%
Away win 28.2%
Over 2.5 85.2%
Over 3.5 69.7%
BTTS 80.9%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 67%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)2.7 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob80.9%

H 54% / xG 2.7-2.0 / O2.5 85% / BTTS 81%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.6%
#2 2–1 6.6%
#3 3–2 6.0%
#4 3–1 6.0%
#5 1–2 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Teutonia O.2.7
T. Wilhelmsburg2.0

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 85.2% · O3.5 PROB 69.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TEUTONIA O. · PPG 1.85

T. WILHELMSBURG · PPG 0.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.85) vs P(Home)=53.8%

Win probability 1X2

Teutonia O. (H) 53.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 18.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
T. Wilhelmsburg (A) 28.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Teutonia O. face T. Wilhelmsburg on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Teutonia O. a 54% chance, the draw 18% and T. Wilhelmsburg 28%, so Teutonia O. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Teutonia O. and 2.0 for T. Wilhelmsburg (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 85% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 81% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Teutonia O. are averaging 1.85 points per game versus 0.53 for T. Wilhelmsburg. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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