Brighton W vs Man City W Prediction— England - FA WSL

England - FA WSL Regular Season - 20 The Broadfield Stadium· Crawley Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:00

Brighton W PPG 1.38

3-2 MISS

Man City W PPG 2.11

Away· +0.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Brighton W face Man City W in England - FA WSL on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brighton W a 11% chance, the draw 18% and Man City W 71%, so Man City W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Brighton W and 2.2 for Man City W (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brighton W are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 2.11 for Man City W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +0.4%. This match finished 3-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 11.1%

Odds: 5.80 EV: -35.6%

Draw 18.2%

Odds: 4.70 EV: -14.5%

Away 70.7%

Odds: 1.42 EV: +0.4%

Model lean: Away

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.7% Odds: 1.45 -19.2%

Over 3.5 33.3% Odds: 2.15 -28.4%

BTTS 45.9% Odds: 1.60 -26.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-3 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Brighton W

0.73

Man City W

2.18

Model SuggestionAway +0.4% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.11) vs Home AVERAGE (1.38)