Today / Ostrava W vs L. Brno W

Ostrava W vs L. Brno W Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Ostrava W

PPG 0.86 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

L. Brno W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.86), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-17.3%0-25.7%0-32.9%0-4+1.6%1 1-07.1%1-111.0%1-28.5%1-34.4%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.3%2-18.3%2-26.4%2-33.3%2-4+1.8%3 3-02.7%3-14.1%3-23.2%3-31.7%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.2%4+-21.7%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.9% — — —

Draw 24.1% — — —

Away win 39.0% — — —

Over 2.5 58.9% — — —

Over 3.5 36.5% — — —

BTTS 61.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob61.2%

A 39% / xG 1.5-1.6 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 0–1 7.3%

#5 1–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ostrava W1.5

L. Brno W1.6

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.9% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

OSTRAVA W · PPG 0.86

L. BRNO W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.86), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Ostrava W (H) 36.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

L. Brno W (A) 39.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ostrava W face L. Brno W on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ostrava W a 37% chance, the draw 24% and L. Brno W 39%, so L. Brno W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Ostrava W and 1.6 for L. Brno W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ostrava W are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 1.00 for L. Brno W. This match finished 0-2.

Ostrava W vs L. Brno W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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