Today / Chengdu vs Zhejiang

Chengdu vs Zhejiang Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Chengdu

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Zhejiang

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-10.5%0-20.2%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-03.7%1-12.2%1-20.6%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-07.6%2-14.5%2-21.3%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-010.5%3-16.2%3-21.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-032.6%4+-119.4%4+-25.7%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 93.3% — — —

Draw 4.8% — — —

Away win 1.9% — — —

Over 2.5 85.0% — — —

Over 3.5 69.3% — — —

BTTS 44.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 77%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)4.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob44.0%

H 93% / xG 4.1-0.6 / O2.5 85% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 10.8%

#2 3–0 10.5%

#3 5–0 8.9%

#4 2–0 7.6%

#5 4–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Chengdu4.1

Zhejiang0.6

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 85.0% · O3.5 PROB 69.3%

Form & verdict PPG

CHENGDU · PPG 3.00

ZHEJIANG · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Chengdu (H) 93.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 4.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zhejiang (A) 1.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Chengdu face Zhejiang on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chengdu a 93% chance, the draw 5% and Zhejiang 2%, so Chengdu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.1 for Chengdu and 0.6 for Zhejiang (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 85% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chengdu are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Zhejiang.

Chengdu vs Zhejiang Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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