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Preuss. Munster vs Bielefeld Prediction— Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Matchday 31 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:00

Preuss. Munster

PPG 1.07 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDDL

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Bielefeld

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWDLW

// Model verdict

BTTS 62% chance

Model probability 57.6% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-18.3%0-26.0%0-32.9%0-4+1.4%1 1-08.2%1-111.8%1-28.4%1-34.0%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.8%2-18.3%2-25.9%2-32.8%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.7%3-13.9%3-22.8%3-31.3%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.9%4+-21.3%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.0% 32.3% 3.10 +14.7%

Draw 25.1% 28.2% 3.55 -10.9%

Away win 38.0% 45.5% 2.20 -16.4%

Over 2.5 54.1% 57.1% 1.75 -5.3%

Over 3.5 31.8% 35.1% 2.85 -9.4%

BTTS 57.6% 63.7% 1.57 -9.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -10.2%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob57.6%

A 38% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 0–1 8.3%

#4 2–1 8.3%

#5 1–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Preuss. Munster1.4

Bielefeld1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.1% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

PREUSS. MUNSTER · PPG 1.07

BIELEFELD · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

62%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.07) > Away POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

Preuss. Munster (H) 37.0%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +14.7%

Draw 25.1%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -10.9%

Bielefeld (A) 38.0%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -16.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Preuss. Munster face Bielefeld in Germany - 2. Bundesliga on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Preuss. Munster a 37% chance, the draw 25% and Bielefeld 38%, so Bielefeld are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Preuss. Munster and 1.4 for Bielefeld (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Preuss. Munster are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 0.67 for Bielefeld. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +14.7%. This match finished 2-3.

Preuss. Munster vs Bielefeld Prediction— Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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