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Karlsruher SC vs Hannover 96 Prediction— Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Matchday 31 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:00

Karlsruher SC

PPG 1.93 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWDL

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Hannover 96

PPG 1.93 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWDDD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 68% chance

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 70.6% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+5.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-15.2%0-25.1%0-33.4%0-4+2.7%1 1-04.3%1-18.6%1-28.5%1-35.6%1-4+4.4%2 2-03.6%2-17.1%2-27.1%2-34.7%2-4+3.7%3 3-02.0%3-14.0%3-23.9%3-32.6%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.4%4+-22.4%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.8% 25.3% 3.95 +29.6%

Draw 21.5% 25.0% 4.00 -14.0%

Away win 45.7% 56.5% 1.77 -19.1%

Over 2.5 70.6% 66.7% 1.50 +5.9%

Over 3.5 49.6% 44.4% 2.25 +11.6%

BTTS 70.0% 67.6% 1.48 +3.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -10.2%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 58%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob70.0%

A 46% / xG 1.7-2.0 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.6%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–1 7.1%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 1–3✓ 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Karlsruher SC1.7

Hannover 962.0

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.6% · O3.5 PROB 49.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KARLSRUHER SC · PPG 1.93

HANNOVER 96 · PPG 1.93

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

68%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.93), Away GOOD (1.93)

Win probability 1X2

Karlsruher SC (H) 32.8%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV +29.6%

Draw 21.5%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -14.0%

Hannover 96 (A) 45.7%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -19.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Karlsruher SC face Hannover 96 in Germany - 2. Bundesliga on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Karlsruher SC a 33% chance, the draw 22% and Hannover 96 46%, so Hannover 96 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Karlsruher SC and 2.0 for Hannover 96 (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Karlsruher SC are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.93 for Hannover 96. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +29.6%. This match finished 1-3.

Karlsruher SC vs Hannover 96 Prediction— Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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