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Kazincbarcikai vs Kecskeméti TE Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Matchday 7 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 14:00

Kazincbarcikai

PPG 1.93 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWWD

UPCOMING

Kecskeméti TE

PPG 1.54 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 58.1% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1% — a real, if thin, edge.

+7.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-16.7%0-23.9%0-31.5%0-4+0.6%1 1-09.8%1-111.3%1-26.5%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.3%2-19.6%2-25.5%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.7%3-15.4%3-23.1%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-13.4%4+-21.9%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.4% 29.4% 3.40 +57.8%

Draw 24.2% 28.6% 3.50 -9.2%

Away win 29.4% 52.6% 1.90 -26.5%

Over 2.5 58.1% 54.1% 1.85 +7.5%

Over 3.5 35.4% 32.8% 3.05 +8.0%

BTTS 55.9% 60.2% 1.66 -7.2%

Home O1.5 49.9% 36.8% 2.72 +35.7%

Away O1.5 33.2% 49.5% 2.02 -32.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 32.2%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.9%

H 46% / xG 1.7-1.2 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 8.3%

#4 1–2 6.5%

#5 1–0 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kazincbarcikai1.7

Kecskeméti TE1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.1% · O3.5 PROB 35.4%

Form & verdict PPG

KAZINCBARCIKAI · PPG 1.93

KECSKEMÉTI TE · PPG 1.54

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.54 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Kazincbarcikai (H) 46.4%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +57.8%

Draw 24.2%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -9.2%

Kecskeméti TE (A) 29.4%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -26.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kazincbarcikai face Kecskeméti TE in Hungary - NB II on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kazincbarcikai a 46% chance, the draw 24% and Kecskeméti TE 29%, so Kazincbarcikai are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Kazincbarcikai and 1.2 for Kecskeméti TE (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kazincbarcikai are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.54 for Kecskeméti TE. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +69.4%.

Kazincbarcikai vs Kecskeméti TE Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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