Today / Belgium - Challenger Pro League / KAA Gent II vs RSC Anderlecht II

KAA Gent II vs RSC Anderlecht II Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 14:00

KAA Gent II

PPG 1.30 · HOME

LAST 5

LW ···

UPCOMING

RSC Anderlecht II

PPG 0.95 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLL ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-17.8%0-24.9%0-32.0%0-4+0.8%1 1-09.5%1-111.9%1-27.5%1-33.1%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.2%2-19.1%2-25.7%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-03.7%3-14.6%3-22.9%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.5%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.6% 46.5% 2.15 -4.1%

Draw 25.8% 29.0% 3.45 -6.6%

Away win 29.6% 33.3% 3.00 -6.7%

Over 2.5 53.8% 59.9% 1.67 -10.2%

Over 3.5 31.6% 38.2% 2.62 -17.2%

BTTS 54.6% 65.4% 1.53 -16.5%

Home O1.5 40.2% 52.4% 1.91 -23.2%

Away O1.5 36.8% 42.0% 2.38 -12.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.6%

H 45% / xG 1.5-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–0 9.5%

#4 2–0 7.2%

#5 1–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KAA Gent II1.5

RSC Anderlecht II1.3

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KAA GENT II · PPG 1.30

RSC ANDERLECHT II · PPG 0.95

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.27 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

KAA Gent II (H) 44.6%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -4.1%

Draw 25.8%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -6.6%

RSC Anderlecht II (A) 29.6%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -6.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

KAA Gent II face RSC Anderlecht II in Belgium - Challenger Pro League on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KAA Gent II a 45% chance, the draw 26% and RSC Anderlecht II 30%, so KAA Gent II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for KAA Gent II and 1.3 for RSC Anderlecht II (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KAA Gent II are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 0.95 for RSC Anderlecht II.

KAA Gent II vs RSC Anderlecht II Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Belgium - Challenger Pro League Predictions