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Club Brugge II vs AS Eupen Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 14:00

Club Brugge II

PPG 1.34 · HOME

LAST 5

WW ···

UPCOMING

AS Eupen

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

LAST 5

WL ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.9% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-17.5%0-25.5%0-32.7%0-4+1.4%1 1-07.7%1-111.3%1-28.3%1-34.1%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.8%2-18.5%2-26.2%2-33.1%2-4+1.6%3 3-02.9%3-14.3%3-23.1%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.2%4+-21.6%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.3% 33.3% 3.00 +17.9%

Draw 24.4% 29.4% 3.40 -10.2%

Away win 36.3% 46.5% 2.15 -22.0%

Over 2.5 59.6% 55.6% 1.80 +7.3%

Over 3.5 36.4% 33.9% 2.95 +7.4%

BTTS 60.9% 62.5% 1.60 -2.6%

Home O1.5 39.9% 39.2% 2.55 +1.7%

Away O1.5 42.2% 48.8% 2.05 -13.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob60.9%

H 39% / xG 1.5-1.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 1–0 7.7%

#5 2–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Club Brugge II1.5

AS Eupen1.5

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CLUB BRUGGE II · PPG 1.34

AS EUPEN · PPG 1.18

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.03 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Club Brugge II (H) 39.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +17.9%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -10.2%

AS Eupen (A) 36.3%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -22.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Club Brugge II face AS Eupen in Belgium - Challenger Pro League on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Club Brugge II a 39% chance, the draw 24% and AS Eupen 36%, so Club Brugge II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Club Brugge II and 1.5 for AS Eupen (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Club Brugge II are averaging 1.34 points per game versus 1.18 for AS Eupen. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +20.5%.

Club Brugge II vs AS Eupen Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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