Today / Polissya U19 vs Obolon Kyiv U19

Polissya U19 vs Obolon Kyiv U19 Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Polissya U19
PPG 1.58 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME
Obolon Kyiv U19
PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.58), Away GOOD (1.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.5%0-17.9%0-22.0%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-021.0%1-110.7%1-22.7%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.2%2-17.2%2-21.8%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-06.4%3-13.3%3-20.8%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-11.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 57.9%
Draw 28.2%
Away win 13.9%
Over 2.5 28.6%
Over 3.5 11.9%
BTTS 29.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 62%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob29.6%

H 58% / xG 1.4-0.5 / U2.5 29% / NoBTTS 30%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 21.0%
#2 0–0 15.5%
#3 2–0 14.2%
#4 1–1 10.7%
#5 0–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Polissya U191.4
Obolon Kyiv U190.5

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 28.6% · O3.5 PROB 11.9%

Form & verdict PPG

POLISSYA U19 · PPG 1.58

OBOLON KYIV U19 · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.58), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Polissya U19 (H) 57.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 28.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Obolon Kyiv U19 (A) 13.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Polissya U19 face Obolon Kyiv U19 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Polissya U19 a 58% chance, the draw 28% and Obolon Kyiv U19 14%, so Polissya U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Polissya U19 and 0.5 for Obolon Kyiv U19 (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 30% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Polissya U19 are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 1.50 for Obolon Kyiv U19. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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