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Häcken II W vs Enskede W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Matchday 17 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 14:00

Häcken II W

PPG 0.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLWL

UPCOMING

Enskede W

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLLD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.0% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8% — a clear edge.

+10.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-17.3%0-27.6%0-35.2%0-4+4.4%1 1-04.5%1-19.3%1-29.6%1-36.7%1-4+5.6%2 2-02.8%2-15.9%2-26.1%2-34.3%2-4+3.6%3 3-01.2%3-12.5%3-22.6%3-31.8%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.1%4+-21.1%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.3% 28.6% 3.50 +6.0%

Draw 21.4% 29.4% 3.40 -16.3%

Away win 48.2% 53.5% 1.87 -9.9%

Over 2.5 65.0% 58.8% 1.70 +10.5%

Over 3.5 44.8% 36.4% 2.75 +23.2%

BTTS 62.2% 61.3% 1.63 +1.4%

Home O1.5 38.4% — — —

Away O1.5 58.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob62.2%

A 48% / xG 1.3-2.1 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 2–1 5.9%

#4 0–2 7.6%

#5 1–3 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Häcken II W1.3

Enskede W2.1

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HÄCKEN II W · PPG 0.00

ENSKEDE W · PPG 1.25

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.80 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Häcken II W (H) 30.3%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +6.0%

Draw 21.4%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -16.3%

Enskede W (A) 48.2%

ODDS 1.87 · IMPLIED 53.5% EV -9.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Häcken II W face Enskede W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Häcken II W a 30% chance, the draw 21% and Enskede W 48%, so Enskede W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Häcken II W and 2.1 for Enskede W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Häcken II W are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 1.25 for Enskede W. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +23.2%.

Häcken II W vs Enskede W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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