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Trelleborg W vs Göteborg W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 12:00

Trelleborg W

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

DDWLL

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Göteborg W

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.1% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-17.4%0-27.9%0-35.5%0-4+4.8%1 1-04.3%1-19.2%1-29.7%1-36.8%1-4+5.9%2 2-02.7%2-15.7%2-26.0%2-34.2%2-4+3.6%3 3-01.1%3-12.3%3-22.5%3-31.7%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.9%4+-21.0%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.4% 36.4% 2.75 -21.4%

Draw 21.4% 28.6% 3.50 -15.1%

Away win 55.2% 46.7% 2.14 +18.1%

Over 2.5 63.1% 69.0% 1.45 -8.5%

Over 3.5 39.4% 47.6% 2.10 -17.3%

BTTS 61.3% — — —

Home O1.5 33.5% 51.3% 1.95 -34.7%

Away O1.5 57.7% 58.8% 1.70 -1.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob61.3%

A 55% / xG 1.2-2.1 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 1–2 9.7%

#3 0–2 7.9%

#4 1–3 6.8%

#5 2–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Trelleborg W1.2

Göteborg W2.1

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

TRELLEBORG W · PPG 2.00

GÖTEBORG W · PPG 1.86

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.88 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Trelleborg W (H) 23.4%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -21.4%

Draw 21.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -15.1%

Göteborg W (A) 55.2%

ODDS 2.14 · IMPLIED 46.7% EV +18.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Trelleborg W face Göteborg W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trelleborg W a 23% chance, the draw 21% and Göteborg W 55%, so Göteborg W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Trelleborg W and 2.1 for Göteborg W (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trelleborg W are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.86 for Göteborg W. This match finished 0-4.

Trelleborg W vs Göteborg W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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