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Linköping W vs Enskede W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Matchday 15 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 13:00

Linköping W logo
Linköping W
PPG 2.17 · HOME
LAST 5
LWWWL
2 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5
Enskede W logo
Enskede W
PPG 1.43 · AWAY
LAST 5
DLLLD

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.11 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-13.6%0-22.2%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-06.8%1-18.3%1-25.0%1-32.0%1-4+0.8%2 2-07.9%2-19.6%2-25.8%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-06.1%3-17.4%3-24.4%3-31.8%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-06.1%4+-17.3%4+-24.4%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 55.5% 71.4% 1.40 -22.3%
Draw 21.7% 23.5% 4.25 -4.7%
Away win 22.7% 16.7% 6.00 +21.7%
Over 2.5 65.0% 66.7% 1.50 -2.5%
Over 3.5 43.5% 44.4% 2.25 -2.1%
BTTS 61.3% 58.8% 1.70 +4.2%
Home O1.5 65.1%
Away O1.5 37.3%

League track record

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%
O2.5 51%
BTTS 61%
Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-1
xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob61.3%

H 56% / xG 2.3-1.2 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.3%
#2 2–1 9.6%
#3 2–0 7.9%
#4 3–1 7.4%
#5 1–2 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Linköping W2.3
Enskede W1.2

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.0% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

LINKÖPING W · PPG 2.17

ENSKEDE W · PPG 1.43

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.11 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Linköping W (H) 55.5%
ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -22.3%
Draw 21.7%
ODDS 4.25 · IMPLIED 23.5% EV -4.7%
Enskede W (A) 22.7%
ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +21.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Linköping W face Enskede W in Sweden - Elitettan on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Linköping W a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Enskede W 23%, so Linköping W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Linköping W and 1.2 for Enskede W (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Linköping W are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 1.43 for Enskede W. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +4.2%. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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