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Husqvarna W vs Trelleborg W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 12:00

Husqvarna W

PPG 0.71 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWWW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Trelleborg W

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 62.0% vs bookmaker-implied 65.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-17.0%0-25.9%0-33.3%0-4+2.0%1 1-06.3%1-110.5%1-28.8%1-34.9%1-4+3.0%2 2-04.7%2-17.9%2-26.6%2-33.7%2-4+2.2%3 3-02.4%3-13.9%3-23.3%3-31.8%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.0%4+-21.7%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.1% 34.7% 2.88 +12.6%

Draw 23.7% 29.4% 3.40 -11.7%

Away win 37.2% 48.1% 2.08 -22.6%

Over 2.5 62.0% 65.8% 1.52 -5.8%

Over 3.5 39.3% 43.9% 2.28 -10.4%

BTTS 60.9% 68.5% 1.46 -11.1%

Home O1.5 40.1% 47.6% 2.10 -15.8%

Away O1.5 47.9% 57.8% 1.73 -17.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob60.9%

H 39% / xG 1.5-1.7 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1 7.9%

#3 1–2 8.8%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 1–0✓ 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Husqvarna W1.5

Trelleborg W1.7

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HUSQVARNA W · PPG 0.71

TRELLEBORG W · PPG 1.43

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.17 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Husqvarna W (H) 39.1%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV +12.6%

Draw 23.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -11.7%

Trelleborg W (A) 37.2%

ODDS 2.08 · IMPLIED 48.1% EV -22.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Husqvarna W face Trelleborg W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Husqvarna W a 39% chance, the draw 24% and Trelleborg W 37%, so Husqvarna W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Husqvarna W and 1.7 for Trelleborg W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Husqvarna W are averaging 0.71 points per game versus 1.43 for Trelleborg W. This match finished 1-0.

Husqvarna W vs Trelleborg W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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