Today / Sweden - Elitettan / Enskede W vs Jitex W

Enskede W vs Jitex W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Matchday 16 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 13:00

Enskede W

PPG 1.14 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLLD

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Jitex W

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLDL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.0% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-17.9%0-25.3%0-32.4%0-4+1.1%1 1-08.8%1-111.8%1-27.9%1-33.5%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.6%2-18.8%2-25.9%2-32.6%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.3%3-14.4%3-22.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.3%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.0% 47.6% 2.10 -16.0%

Draw 24.4% 27.0% 3.70 -5.8%

Away win 35.5% 37.0% 2.70 -4.2%

Over 2.5 59.7% 62.5% 1.60 -4.5%

Over 3.5 36.7% 41.2% 2.43 -10.8%

BTTS 60.0% 66.7% 1.50 -10.0%

Home O1.5 40.1% 53.8% 1.86 -25.4%

Away O1.5 40.9% 44.6% 2.24 -8.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob60.0%

H 40% / xG 1.5-1.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 7.9%

#4 1–0 8.8%

#5 0–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Enskede W1.5

Jitex W1.3

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ENSKEDE W · PPG 1.14

JITEX W · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.16 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Enskede W (H) 40.0%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -16.0%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -5.8%

Jitex W (A) 35.5%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -4.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Enskede W face Jitex W in Sweden - Elitettan on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Enskede W a 40% chance, the draw 24% and Jitex W 36%, so Enskede W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Enskede W and 1.3 for Jitex W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Enskede W are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.14 for Jitex W. This match finished 2-2.

Enskede W vs Jitex W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Elitettan Predictions