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Linköping W vs Göteborg W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 13:00

Linköping W

PPG 2.29 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWWL

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Göteborg W

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.1% vs bookmaker-implied 68.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-17.1%0-26.5%0-34.0%0-4+2.8%1 1-05.5%1-110.1%1-29.2%1-35.6%1-4+3.9%2 2-03.9%2-17.1%2-26.5%2-34.0%2-4+2.8%3 3-01.8%3-13.4%3-23.1%3-31.9%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.6%4+-21.5%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.6% 48.1% 2.08 -36.4%

Draw 22.8% 29.0% 3.45 -12.8%

Away win 46.6% 35.1% 2.85 +32.8%

Over 2.5 63.1% 68.5% 1.46 -7.9%

Over 3.5 39.3% 47.2% 2.12 -16.7%

BTTS 61.2% — — —

Home O1.5 40.1% 59.9% 1.67 -33.0%

Away O1.5 53.6% 50.0% 2.00 +7.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob61.2%

A 47% / xG 1.4-1.8 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 1–2 9.2%

#3 2–1 7.1%

#4 0–2 6.5%

#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Linköping W1.4

Göteborg W1.8

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

LINKÖPING W · PPG 2.29

GÖTEBORG W · PPG 2.00

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.41 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Linköping W (H) 30.6%

ODDS 2.08 · IMPLIED 48.1% EV -36.4%

Draw 22.8%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -12.8%

Göteborg W (A) 46.6%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV +32.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Linköping W face Göteborg W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Linköping W a 31% chance, the draw 23% and Göteborg W 47%, so Göteborg W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Linköping W and 1.8 for Göteborg W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Linköping W are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 2.00 for Göteborg W. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +7.2%. This match finished 1-4.

Linköping W vs Göteborg W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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