Today / Rekord B. W vs Gdansk W

Rekord B. W vs Gdansk W Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Rekord B. W

PPG 0.63 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Gdansk W

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.63), Away POOR (0.88)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-18.7%0-26.6%0-33.4%0-4+1.8%1 1-07.7%1-111.7%1-28.9%1-34.5%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.1%2-17.8%2-25.9%2-33.0%2-4+1.6%3 3-02.3%3-13.5%3-22.6%3-31.3%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.6%4+-21.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.4% — — —

Draw 24.9% — — —

Away win 41.7% — — —

Over 2.5 54.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.0% — — —

BTTS 57.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob57.6%

A 42% / xG 1.3-1.5 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 0–1 8.7%

#4 2–1 7.8%

#5 1–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rekord B. W1.3

Gdansk W1.5

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.0%

Form & verdict PPG

REKORD B. W · PPG 0.63

GDANSK W · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.63), Away POOR (0.88)

Win probability 1X2

Rekord B. W (H) 33.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gdansk W (A) 41.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rekord B. W face Gdansk W on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rekord B. W a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Gdansk W 42%, so Gdansk W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Rekord B. W and 1.5 for Gdansk W (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rekord B. W are averaging 0.63 points per game versus 0.88 for Gdansk W. This match finished 1-3.

Rekord B. W vs Gdansk W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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