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PDRM vs Imigresen Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Regular Season - 23 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 09:00

PDRM

PPG 0.60 · HOME

0 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Imigresen

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 71.8% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0% — a real, if thin, edge.

+4.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-16.4%0-28.3%0-37.3%0-4+9.0%1 1-02.7%1-17.0%1-29.1%1-38.0%1-4+9.9%2 2-01.5%2-13.8%2-25.0%2-34.4%2-4+5.4%3 3-00.5%3-11.4%3-21.8%3-31.6%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.5%4+-20.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.7% 15.6% 6.40 -12.3%

Draw 16.4% 22.7% 4.40 -27.8%

Away win 70.0% 71.4% 1.40 -2.0%

Over 2.5 71.8% 69.0% 1.45 +4.1%

Over 3.5 51.0% 47.6% 2.10 +7.1%

BTTS 61.8% 64.5% 1.55 -4.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 74%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-5

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob61.8%

A 70% / xG 1.1-2.6 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.1%

#2 0–2 8.3%

#3 1–3 8.0%

#4 0–3 7.3%

#5 1–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

PDRM1.1

Imigresen2.6

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.8% · O3.5 PROB 51.0%

Form & verdict PPG

PDRM · PPG 0.60

IMIGRESEN · PPG 1.30

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.30) vs Home POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

PDRM (H) 13.7%

ODDS 6.40 · IMPLIED 15.6% EV -12.3%

Draw 16.4%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -27.8%

Imigresen (A) 70.0%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -2.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

PDRM face Imigresen in Malaysia - Super League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives PDRM a 14% chance, the draw 16% and Imigresen 70%, so Imigresen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for PDRM and 2.6 for Imigresen (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, PDRM are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 1.30 for Imigresen. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +7.1%. This match finished 0-5.

PDRM vs Imigresen Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Malaysia - Super League Predictions