Today / Plzen U19 vs H. Kralove U19

Plzen U19 vs H. Kralove U19 Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Plzen U19
PPG 2.00 · HOME
2 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
H. Kralove U19
PPG 1.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-12.7%0-23.5%0-33.0%0-4+3.7%1 1-02.0%1-15.2%1-26.9%1-36.0%1-4+7.3%2 2-02.0%2-15.2%2-26.8%2-35.9%2-4+7.2%3 3-01.3%3-13.4%3-24.5%3-33.9%3-4+4.8%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-12.7%4+-23.5%4+-33.0%4+-4+3.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 29.4%
Draw 18.5%
Away win 52.0%
Over 2.5 83.6%
Over 3.5 67.3%
BTTS 79.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 64%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-2
xG (home)2.0 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob79.8%

A 52% / xG 2.0-2.6 / O2.5 84% / BTTS 80%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 6.9%
#2 2–2 6.8%
#3 1–3 6.0%
#4 2–3 5.9%
#5 1–1 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Plzen U192.0
H. Kralove U192.6

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 83.6% · O3.5 PROB 67.3%

Form & verdict PPG

PLZEN U19 · PPG 2.00

H. KRALOVE U19 · PPG 1.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.91)

Win probability 1X2

Plzen U19 (H) 29.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 18.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
H. Kralove U19 (A) 52.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Plzen U19 face H. Kralove U19 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Plzen U19 a 29% chance, the draw 19% and H. Kralove U19 52%, so H. Kralove U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Plzen U19 and 2.6 for H. Kralove U19 (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 84% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 80% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Plzen U19 are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.91 for H. Kralove U19. This match finished 2-2.

PredictVantage

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