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Räppe vs Sölvesborg Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Södra Götaland · Matchday 20 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 12:00

Räppe

PPG 0.80 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLDL

UPCOMING

Sölvesborg

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWWL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.9% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-19.3%0-26.7%0-33.2%0-4+1.6%1 1-08.4%1-112.1%1-28.7%1-34.2%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.5%2-17.9%2-25.7%2-32.7%2-4+1.3%3 3-02.4%3-13.4%3-22.5%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.5%4+-21.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.9% 35.7% 2.80 -5.1%

Draw 23.8% 29.4% 3.40 -11.5%

Away win 42.3% 48.5% 2.06 -12.9%

Over 2.5 53.8% 68.0% 1.47 -20.9%

Over 3.5 33.4% 46.1% 2.17 -27.5%

BTTS 55.9% 69.4% 1.44 -19.5%

Home O1.5 38.4% 46.5% 2.15 -17.4%

Away O1.5 42.2% 56.2% 1.78 -24.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 3.1%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.9%

A 42% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 2–1 7.9%

#4 0–1 9.3%

#5 0–2 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Räppe1.3

Sölvesborg1.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 33.4%

Form & verdict PPG

RÄPPE · PPG 0.80

SÖLVESBORG · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.14 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Räppe (H) 33.9%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -5.1%

Draw 23.8%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -11.5%

Sölvesborg (A) 42.3%

ODDS 2.06 · IMPLIED 48.5% EV -12.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Räppe face Sölvesborg in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Räppe a 34% chance, the draw 24% and Sölvesborg 42%, so Sölvesborg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Räppe and 1.4 for Sölvesborg (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Räppe are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 1.00 for Sölvesborg.

Räppe vs Sölvesborg Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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