Today / Australia - Victoria NPL 2 / Bulleen vs North Geelong

Bulleen vs North Geelong Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 08:30

Bulleen

PPG 1.50 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

North Geelong

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-13.3%0-22.9%0-31.6%0-4+1.0%1 1-04.3%1-17.4%1-26.4%1-33.7%1-4+2.3%2 2-04.8%2-18.2%2-27.1%2-34.1%2-4+2.6%3 3-03.5%3-16.1%3-25.3%3-33.0%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-15.7%4+-24.9%4+-32.8%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.5% — — —

Draw 20.3% — — —

Away win 30.2% — — —

Over 2.5 75.5% — — —

Over 3.5 55.8% — — —

BTTS 73.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -15.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob73.4%

H 50% / xG 2.2-1.7 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 73%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.2%

#2 1–1 7.4%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 1–2 6.4%

#5 3–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bulleen2.2

North Geelong1.7

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.5% · O3.5 PROB 55.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BULLEEN · PPG 1.50

NORTH GEELONG · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Bulleen (H) 49.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

North Geelong (A) 30.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bulleen face North Geelong in Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bulleen a 50% chance, the draw 20% and North Geelong 30%, so Bulleen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Bulleen and 1.7 for North Geelong (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 73% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bulleen are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.50 for North Geelong. This match finished 3-0.

Bulleen vs North Geelong Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - Victoria NPL 2 Predictions