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Lindo FF vs Nyköping Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Södra Svealand · Matchday 20 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 11:00

Lindo FF

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLLL

UPCOMING

Nyköping

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLDL

// Model verdict

BTTS 66% chance

Model probability 59.0% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-18.7%0-26.0%0-32.8%0-4+1.3%1 1-08.8%1-112.1%1-28.3%1-33.8%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.0%2-18.3%2-25.7%2-32.6%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.8%3-13.8%3-22.6%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.8%4+-21.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.0% 28.6% 3.50 +36.5%

Draw 24.4% 29.4% 3.40 -10.2%

Away win 36.6% 54.6% 1.83 -33.0%

Over 2.5 58.8% 69.4% 1.44 -15.3%

Over 3.5 36.2% 47.6% 2.10 -24.0%

BTTS 59.0% 69.4% 1.44 -15.0%

Home O1.5 39.6% 46.1% 2.17 -14.1%

Away O1.5 42.2% 66.7% 1.50 -36.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -23.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.0%

H 39% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 2–1 8.3%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 1–0 8.8%

#5 0–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lindo FF1.4

Nyköping1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.8% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

LINDO FF · PPG 1.00

NYKÖPING · PPG 1.33

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

66%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.00 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Lindo FF (H) 39.0%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +36.5%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -10.2%

Nyköping (A) 36.6%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -33.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lindo FF face Nyköping in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lindo FF a 39% chance, the draw 24% and Nyköping 37%, so Lindo FF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Lindo FF and 1.4 for Nyköping (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lindo FF are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.33 for Nyköping.

Lindo FF vs Nyköping Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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