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Stockholm Internazionale vs Hammarby Talang Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Norra · Matchday 20 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 11:00

Stockholm Internazionale

PPG 2.20 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWWW

UPCOMING

Hammarby Talang

PPG 2.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDLDD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 64.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-110.9%0-28.0%0-33.9%0-4+2.0%1 1-08.4%1-112.4%1-29.0%1-34.4%1-4+2.2%2 2-04.8%2-17.0%2-25.1%2-32.5%2-4+1.3%3 3-01.8%3-12.7%3-21.9%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.0%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.1% 43.5% 2.30 -12.4%

Draw 24.7% 30.8% 3.25 -11.8%

Away win 37.3% 37.7% 2.65 -1.2%

Over 2.5 51.2% 59.5% 1.68 -14.0%

Over 3.5 31.6% 37.0% 2.70 -14.7%

BTTS 52.9% 64.1% 1.56 -17.5%

Home O1.5 31.2% 50.0% 2.00 -37.6%

Away O1.5 42.2% 45.9% 2.18 -8.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -9.4%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob52.9%

H 38% / xG 1.1-1.5 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 2–1 7.0%

#3 1–0 8.4%

#4 1–2 9.0%

#5 0–1 10.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stockholm Internazionale1.1

Hammarby Talang1.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.2% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

STOCKHOLM INTERNAZIONALE · PPG 2.20

HAMMARBY TALANG · PPG 2.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.33 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Stockholm Internazionale (H) 38.1%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -12.4%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -11.8%

Hammarby Talang (A) 37.3%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -1.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Stockholm Internazionale face Hammarby Talang in Sweden - Ettan - Norra on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stockholm Internazionale a 38% chance, the draw 25% and Hammarby Talang 37%, so Stockholm Internazionale are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Stockholm Internazionale and 1.5 for Hammarby Talang (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stockholm Internazionale are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 2.67 for Hammarby Talang. The best value bet our model finds is RES_A/O15, with an expected value of +11.5%.

Stockholm Internazionale vs Hammarby Talang Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Match Preview & Prediction

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