Today / Poland - III Liga - Group 3 / Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Kluczbork

Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Kluczbork Prediction— Poland - III Liga - Group 3

Group III · Matchday 7 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 10:00

Goczałkowice Zdrój

PPG 1.60 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLWD

UPCOMING

Kluczbork

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.8% vs bookmaker-implied 68.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.4%0-110.1%0-25.5%0-32.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.1%1-113.0%1-27.0%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.8%2-18.4%2-24.5%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.3%3-13.6%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.5%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.7% 45.9% 2.18 -6.9%

Draw 27.7% 30.3% 3.30 -5.1%

Away win 29.6% 36.4% 2.75 -11.2%

Over 2.5 50.3% 63.3% 1.58 -20.5%

Over 3.5 28.5% 40.0% 2.50 -17.3%

BTTS 52.8% 68.0% 1.47 -22.4%

Home O1.5 38.4% 53.5% 1.87 -28.2%

Away O1.5 32.7% 45.9% 2.18 -28.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 14.6%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.8%

H 43% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 1–0 12.1%

#3 0–0 9.4%

#4 2–1 8.4%

#5 2–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Goczałkowice Zdrój1.3

Kluczbork1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.5%

Form & verdict PPG

GOCZAŁKOWICE ZDRÓJ · PPG 1.60

KLUCZBORK · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.21, combined xG 2.37 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Goczałkowice Zdrój (H) 42.7%

ODDS 2.18 · IMPLIED 45.9% EV -6.9%

Draw 27.7%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -5.1%

Kluczbork (A) 29.6%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -11.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Goczałkowice Zdrój face Kluczbork in Poland - III Liga - Group 3 on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Goczałkowice Zdrój a 43% chance, the draw 28% and Kluczbork 30%, so Goczałkowice Zdrój are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Goczałkowice Zdrój and 1.1 for Kluczbork (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Goczałkowice Zdrój are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.13 for Kluczbork.

Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Kluczbork Prediction— Poland - III Liga - Group 3

Match Preview & Prediction

More Poland - III Liga - Group 3 Predictions