Today / Colombia - Liga Femenina / Deportivo Cali W vs Orsomarso W

Deportivo Cali W vs Orsomarso W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Promotion Group · Matchday 4 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 21:00

Deportivo Cali W

PPG 2.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Orsomarso W

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 71.6% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.1%0-14.0%0-20.9%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-017.8%1-17.8%1-21.7%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.4%2-17.7%2-21.7%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-011.4%3-15.0%3-21.1%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-08.7%4+-13.8%4+-20.8%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.6% 78.1% 1.28 -8.3%

Draw 20.5% 23.8% 4.20 -8.3%

Away win 7.9% 9.1% 11.00 -7.9%

Over 2.5 50.4% 51.3% 1.95 -1.7%

Over 3.5 28.7% 29.9% 3.35 -2.3%

BTTS 42.4% 40.8% 2.45 +3.9%

Home O1.5 55.8% 66.7% 1.50 -16.3%

Away O1.5 11.9% 14.1% 7.10 -9.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob42.4%

H 72% / xG 2.0-0.4 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 17.4%

#2 1–0 17.8%

#3 3–0 11.4%

#4 0–0 9.1%

#5 1–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Cali W2.0

Orsomarso W0.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO CALI W · PPG 2.33

ORSOMARSO W · PPG 0.78

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.52 for Home, form 2.33 vs 0.78 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Cali W (H) 71.6%

ODDS 1.28 · IMPLIED 78.1% EV -8.3%

Draw 20.5%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -8.3%

Orsomarso W (A) 7.9%

ODDS 11.00 · IMPLIED 9.1% EV -7.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Cali W face Orsomarso W in Colombia - Liga Femenina on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Cali W a 72% chance, the draw 21% and Orsomarso W 8%, so Deportivo Cali W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Deportivo Cali W and 0.4 for Orsomarso W (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Cali W are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 0.78 for Orsomarso W. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +3.9%.

Deportivo Cali W vs Orsomarso W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

More Colombia - Liga Femenina Predictions